Severe storms possible again Monday

By Meteorologist Mike Skurko

A Severe Thunderstorm Warning clipped the MA-CT line on Sunday evening, but a better chance of severe weather across Western Massachusetts is expected on Monday.  The graphic below comes from the National Weather Service’s Storms Prediction Center in Oklahoma, which is responsible for issuing severe thunderstorm and tornado watch boxes across the country.  The slight risk category indicates about a 15% chance of severe weather occurring within 25 miles.

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A trough will be slowly digging into the Northeast on Monday.  A southwesterly flow is expected to come in ahead of this trough, which will significantly raise the dewpoints and provide the atmosphere with plenty of moisture.

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Futurecast generally keeps our weather quiet through the first half of the day, with storms generally forming to the south of the region first.  The best chance of strong/severe thunderstorms in Western Massachusetts will be after 2 p.m.  Damaging wind gusts above 60 mph and vivid lightning is possible, so please plan outdoor activities very carefully tomorrow or hold them off for another day.

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The oppressive dewpoints coming in will also help water-load these storms, meaning there is a lot of moisture available to squeeze out some heavy downpours.  There have been discussions about a Flash Flood Watch potentially being issued for tomorrow as well.  Overall, expect a bumpy start to the workweek.

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